ATP tennis predict — Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 08:00

Predicted probability

Alex Molcan

Slovakia

49.82%

Federico Cina

Italy

50.18%

Average Odds

1.60 / 2.30

Market probability

58.97% / 41.03%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1894.3 Elo 1760.7

1730.9 Elo (surface) 1737.6

93 Wins 17

34 Wins (surface) 10

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.047 Dominance ratio 1.066

84 Rank 147

28.8 Age 19.5

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Molcan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Federico Cina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–8L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Federico Cina

1st Serve In %

63.9%

56.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.4%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.7%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.12

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

53.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.8%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Federico Cina

Break Points Saved %

56.1%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

32.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

52.5%

44.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Molcan and Federico Cina have never played each other.

Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina — Prediction