ATP tennis predict — Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · R16

Predicted probability

Alex Molcan

Slovakia

49.82%

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

50.18%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.18

Market probability

56.62% / 43.38%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1782.8 Elo 1766.6

1824.6 Elo (surface) 1795.4

89 Wins 114

50 Wins (surface) 60

12 Last 15 form 8

2 Head-to-head wins 0

1.167 Dominance ratio 1.172

81 Rank 61

28.6 Age 27.9

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Molcan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Daniel Altmaier

1st Serve In %

62.7%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.8%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

38.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.8%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Daniel Altmaier

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

61.4%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

52.5%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Molcan 2 – 0 Daniel Altmaier

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-22

R16

Alex Molcan #81

Daniel Altmaier #61

6-3 3-6 7-5

5 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 4

91 Service Points 97

55 First Serve In 71

37 First Serve Won 44

18 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 8

10 Break Points Faced 13

18 Winners 43

32 Unforced Errors 60

1.7 Average Odds 2.2

Grass Wimbledon · 2026-07-01

1. round

Alex Molcan #101

Daniel Altmaier #61

6-4 3-6 7-5 6-2

8 Aces 19

5 Double Faults 10

137 Service Points 136

97 First Serve In 84

67 First Serve Won 61

21 Second Serve Won 22

15 Break Points Saved 8

17 Break Points Faced 13

33 Winners 57

26 Unforced Errors 38

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Munich · 2026-04-13

R16

Alex Molcan #166

Daniel Altmaier #56

6-4 7-6(10)

2 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 5

68 Service Points 68

43 First Serve In 47

36 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Alex Molcan — Last 10

Daniel Altmaier — Last 10