ATP tennis predict — Alex Molcan vs Chun Hsin Tseng

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Alex Molcan

Slovakia

72.16%

Chun Hsin Tseng

Chinese Taipei

27.84%

Average Odds

1.27 / 3.57

Market probability

73.76% / 26.24%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Molcan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1784 vs 1621), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1820 vs 1671) and a stronger serve (63.1% vs 57.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1784.4 Elo 1621.5

1820.5 Elo (surface) 1670.5

145 Wins (Challenger) 183

100 Wins (surface) 126

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.166 Dominance ratio 1.008

75 Rank 272

28.7 Age 25.0

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Molcan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Chun Hsin Tseng

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Chun Hsin Tseng

1st Serve In %

62.7%

62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.5%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.8%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

51.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.6%

73.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

55.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.8%

55.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.08

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Molcan Chun Hsin Tseng

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.7%

27.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.5%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

52.5%

39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Molcan 0 – 0 Chun Hsin Tseng

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Chun Hsin Tseng #272

Alex Molcan #75

2-6 6-3 2-0

3 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 0

70 Service Points 58

43 First Serve In 44

25 First Serve Won 29

14 Second Serve Won 5

5 Break Points Saved 6

8 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.6 Average Odds 1.3

Alex Molcan vs Chun Hsin Tseng — Prediction