ATP tennis predict — Alex Martinez vs Amit Vales

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Alex Martinez

Spain

42.44%

Amit Vales

Israel

57.56%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.57

Market probability

63.77% / 36.23%

Why This Prediction?

Amit Vales is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1532 vs 1486) and a stronger serve (60.9% vs 58.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1519.7 Elo 1514.9

1485.5 Elo (surface) 1532.4

34 Wins (Challenger) 14

14 Wins (surface) 8

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.070 Dominance ratio 1.124

361 Rank 679

25.4 Age 21.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Amit Vales

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Martinez Amit Vales

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

56.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

61.7%

66.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.8%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.5%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Martinez Amit Vales

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

61.9%

Break Points Converted %

50.8%

47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Martinez 0 – 0 Amit Vales

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Amit Vales #679

Alex Martinez #361

6-2 6-0

0 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 4

44 Service Points 38

23 First Serve In 27

10 First Serve Won 21

5 Second Serve Won 6

7 Break Points Saved 0

13 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.5

Alex Martinez vs Amit Vales — Prediction