ATP tennis predict — Alex Marti Pujolras vs Lorenzo Bocchi

Challenger Clay Sion challenger · qualification - round of 16 10:05

Predicted probability

Alex Marti Pujolras

Spain

61.42%

Lorenzo Bocchi

Italy

38.58%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.62

Market probability

64.69% / 35.31%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Marti Pujolras is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1490 vs 1453), a stronger return game (44.5% vs 33.7% of return points won) and more wins on clay courts (1 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1490.1 Elo 1453.3

1498.4 Elo (surface) 1474.4

40 Wins (Challenger) 11

40 Wins (surface) 11

6 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.110 Dominance ratio 0.848

524 Rank 610

27.5 Age 28.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Marti Pujolras

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Lorenzo Bocchi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Marti Pujolras Lorenzo Bocchi

1st Serve In %

58.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.20

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

54.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

46.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Marti Pujolras Lorenzo Bocchi

Break Points Saved %

45.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

50.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.4%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Marti Pujolras 0 – 0 Lorenzo Bocchi

Clay Sion challenger · 2026-08-17

qualification - round of 16

Alex Marti Pujolras #524

Lorenzo Bocchi #610

7-6 6-4

5 Aces 1

8 Double Faults 5

69 Service Points 75

42 First Serve In 42

32 First Serve Won 28

11 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Alex Marti Pujolras vs Lorenzo Bocchi — Prediction