ATP tennis predict — Alex Marti Pujolras vs Filippo Moroni

Challenger Clay Palermo challenger · qualification - 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Alex Marti Pujolras

Spain

57.07%

Filippo Moroni

Italy

42.93%

Average Odds

1.40 / 2.70

Market probability

65.85% / 34.15%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Marti Pujolras is the favorite because he has more wins on clay courts (45 vs 5) and better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1543.8 Elo 1512.3

1550.5 Elo (surface) 1533.2

45 Wins (Challenger) 12

45 Wins (surface) 5

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.000 Dominance ratio 1.157

497 Rank 864

27.6 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Marti Pujolras

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Filippo Moroni

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Marti Pujolras Filippo Moroni

1st Serve In %

58.2%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

36.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.20

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

56.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

38.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

56.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Marti Pujolras Filippo Moroni

Break Points Saved %

45.8%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

55.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.4%

51.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Marti Pujolras and Filippo Moroni have never played each other.

Alex Marti Pujolras vs Filippo Moroni — Prediction