ATP tennis predict — Alex Marti Pujolras vs Dusan Obradovic

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Alex Marti Pujolras

Spain

65.24%

Dusan Obradovic

Serbia

34.76%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.33

Market probability

60.05% / 39.95%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Marti Pujolras is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1471 vs 1420), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1474 vs 1403) and more career match wins (38 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1470.7 Elo 1420.1

1473.8 Elo (surface) 1403.1

38 Wins (Challenger) 4

38 Wins (surface) 4

5 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.046 Dominance ratio 0.771

517 Rank 477

27.5 Age 25.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Marti Pujolras

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–6L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Dusan Obradovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Marti Pujolras Dusan Obradovic

1st Serve In %

58.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.20

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.42

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.4%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.6%

61.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.7%

42.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.2%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.7%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Marti Pujolras Dusan Obradovic

Break Points Saved %

45.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.3%

57.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.4%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Marti Pujolras 0 – 0 Dusan Obradovic

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Alex Marti Pujolras #824

Dusan Obradovic #403

6-4 6-0

3 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 4

61 Service Points 64

32 First Serve In 42

26 First Serve Won 25

15 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Alex Marti Pujolras vs Dusan Obradovic — Prediction