ATP tennis predict — Alex Kobelt vs Matisse Bobichon

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Alex Kobelt

USA

7.90%

Matisse Bobichon

France

92.10%

Average Odds

6.77 / 1.07

Market probability

13.65% / 86.35%

Why This Prediction?

Matisse Bobichon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1542 vs 1206), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1535 vs 1217) and better recent form (9 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1206.4 Elo 1541.8

1217.1 Elo (surface) 1535.0

0 Wins (Challenger) 9

0 Wins (surface) 9

0 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.606 Dominance ratio 1.022

1833 Rank 639

29.4 Age 24.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Kobelt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Matisse Bobichon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Kobelt Matisse Bobichon

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

51.6%

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.3%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.4%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

34.3%

39.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.91

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.61

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Kobelt Matisse Bobichon

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.8%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Kobelt 0 – 0 Matisse Bobichon

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Matisse Bobichon #639

Alex Kobelt #1833

6-2 6-4

9 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

18 First Serve Won 25

11 Second Serve Won 11

5 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.8

Alex Kobelt vs Matisse Bobichon — Prediction