ATP tennis predict — Alex De Minaur vs Quentin Halys

ATP Hard Beijing · R16 04:00

Predicted probability

Alex De Minaur

Australia

74.75%

Quentin Halys

France

25.25%

Average Odds

1.32 / 3.37

Market probability

71.86% / 28.14%

Why This Prediction?

Alex De Minaur is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2103 vs 1929), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2065 vs 1832) and a stronger return game (35.6% vs 31.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

2102.8 Elo 1929.2

2065.3 Elo (surface) 1832.4

356 Wins 146

260 Wins (surface) 93

10 Last 15 form 11

1 Head-to-head wins 2

0.896 Dominance ratio 0.906

10 Rank 50

27.6 Age 29.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex De Minaur

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Quentin Halys

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex De Minaur Quentin Halys

1st Serve In %

54.6%

56.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

79.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.9%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.2%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.7%

77.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.2%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.1%

25.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex De Minaur Quentin Halys

Break Points Saved %

65.1%

71.2%

Break Points Converted %

33.8%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.1%

73.6%

Break Points Converted %

42.0%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex De Minaur 1 – 2 Quentin Halys

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-15

2. round

Alex De Minaur #7

Quentin Halys #54

1-6 6-3 7-6

9 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 6

100 Service Points 86

52 First Serve In 46

41 First Serve Won 33

25 Second Serve Won 26

11 Break Points Saved 5

12 Break Points Faced 7

32 Winners 25

41 Unforced Errors 34

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Hard Miami Masters · 2023-03-20

R64

Quentin Halys #79

Alex De Minaur #18

6-7(5) 7-6(3) 7-6(8)

21 Aces 2

10 Double Faults 2

138 Service Points 122

77 First Serve In 83

61 First Serve Won 62

27 Second Serve Won 20

8 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Lyon · 2017-05-22

Q1

Quentin Halys #126

Alex De Minaur #234

6-7(5) 6-2 7-6(8)

17 Aces 1

11 Double Faults 4

120 Service Points 105

62 First Serve In 62

46 First Serve Won 33

28 Second Serve Won 28

6 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 6