ATP tennis predict — Alex Bolt vs Omar Jasika

ATP Hard Hangzhou · qualification - round of 16 06:10

Predicted probability

Alex Bolt

Australia

71.00%

Omar Jasika

Australia

29.00%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.34

Market probability

60.15% / 39.85%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Bolt is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1704 vs 1491), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1660 vs 1483) and a stronger serve (62.0% vs 50.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1703.5 Elo 1490.9

1659.6 Elo (surface) 1483.1

79 Wins 8

41 Wins (surface) 8

6 Last 15 form 3

2 Head-to-head wins 4

0.779 Dominance ratio 0.617

165 Rank 392

33.7 Age 29.4

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Bolt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Omar Jasika

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Bolt Omar Jasika

1st Serve In %

60.1%

68.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

55.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

40.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.8%

49.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

68.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.7%

58.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

29.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.5%

55.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Bolt Omar Jasika

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

43.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%

26.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

70.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Bolt 2 – 4 Omar Jasika

Hard Hangzhou · 2026-09-22

qualification - round of 16

Alex Bolt #165

Omar Jasika #392

6-4 6-3

10 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 30

12 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Hard Brisbane 2 CH · 2026-02-09

R16

Alex Bolt #178

Omar Jasika #398

6-2 4-1 RET

6 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

32 Service Points 38

21 First Serve In 27

18 First Serve Won 10

6 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 2

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Jingshan CH · 2025-09-22

R16

Alex Bolt #221

Omar Jasika #255

4-6 6-4 6-1

12 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 2

98 Service Points 79

62 First Serve In 49

47 First Serve Won 31

15 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Burnie CH · 2024-01-29

F

Omar Jasika #293

Alex Bolt #291

6-2 6-7(2) 6-3

1 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 4

81 Service Points 88

60 First Serve In 62

48 First Serve Won 41

16 Second Serve Won 17

1 Break Points Saved 4

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Guangzhou CH · 2023-09-11

R32

Omar Jasika #319

Alex Bolt #321

5-7 6-2 7-6(6)

8 Aces 13

8 Double Faults 2

96 Service Points 94

70 First Serve In 58

54 First Serve Won 43

12 Second Serve Won 20

5 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Happy Valley CH · 2017-01-02

R16

Omar Jasika #367

Alex Bolt #588

6-3 6-3

5 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 6

57 Service Points 48

38 First Serve In 23

28 First Serve Won 18

12 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Traralgon CH · 2014-10-27

R16

Omar Jasika #692

Alex Bolt #211

6-3 6-1

2 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 1

53 Service Points 58

36 First Serve In 38

22 First Serve Won 19

15 Second Serve Won 11

3 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Alex Bolt vs Omar Jasika — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Alex Bolt — Last 10

Omar Jasika — Last 10