ATP tennis predict — Alex Bolt vs Abedallah Shelbayh

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Alex Bolt

Australia

41.99%

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

58.01%

Average Odds

1.03 / 1.03

Market probability

50.00% / 50.00%

Why This Prediction?

Abedallah Shelbayh is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (37.3% vs 29.9% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1606 vs 1597) and fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.13).

Player Comparison

1596.7 Elo 1605.7

1581.3 Elo (surface) 1573.4

194 Wins (Challenger) 98

150 Wins (surface) 76

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.961 Dominance ratio 0.916

158 Rank 267

33.6 Age 22.7

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Bolt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Bolt Abedallah Shelbayh

1st Serve In %

60.1%

59.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

53.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

39.8%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.4%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.7%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.5%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Bolt Abedallah Shelbayh

Break Points Saved %

68.3%

69.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.2%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Bolt 0 – 0 Abedallah Shelbayh

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Abedallah Shelbayh #267

Alex Bolt #158

6-2 6-3

7 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 2

61 Service Points 40

37 First Serve In 24

22 First Serve Won 20

11 Second Serve Won 12

0 Break Points Saved 0

4 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 1.0

Alex Bolt vs Abedallah Shelbayh — Prediction