ATP tennis predict — Alex Barrena vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · QF 13:30

Predicted probability

Alex Barrena

Argentina

60.05%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

39.95%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.43

Market probability

61.68% / 38.32%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Barrena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1668 vs 1601), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1672 vs 1605) and fewer double faults per game (0.15 vs 0.19).

Player Comparison

1667.5 Elo 1600.9

1672.1 Elo (surface) 1605.1

85 Wins (Challenger) 15

85 Wins (surface) 15

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.948 Dominance ratio 0.960

216 Rank 455

23.9 Age 21.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Barrena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Barrena Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

1st Serve In %

57.9%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

58.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.9%

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

54.2%

57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.8%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

43.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Barrena Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

75.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.2%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.0%

53.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Barrena 0 – 0 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-18

QF

Alex Barrena #216

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #455

6-3 6-4

2 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

28 First Serve Won 25

10 Second Serve Won 8

4 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Alex Barrena vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Prediction