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Alex Barrena vs Juan Bautista Torres — Prediction

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · 1. round 00:15

Predicted probability

Alex Barrena

Argentina

57.89%

Juan Bautista Torres

Argentina

42.11%

Average Odds

1.52  /  2.41

Market probability

61.32%  /  38.68%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Barrena is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1722 vs 1624), a higher Elo rating (1711 vs 1629) and better recent form (2 wins in his last 15 matches vs 1).

Player Comparison

1711.1 Elo 1629.3
1722.1 Elo (surface) 1623.9
91 Wins (Challenger) 148
91 Wins (surface) 146
11 Last 15 form 8
3 Head-to-head wins 1
0.948 Dominance ratio 1.005
224 Rank 279
24.0 Age 24.5
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Barrena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

33 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Juan Bautista Torres

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Barrena Juan Bautista Torres

1st Serve In %

57.9%
71.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%
66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%
55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%
34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%
45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—
65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
58.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Barrena Juan Bautista Torres

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
53.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%
40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.4%
56.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.8%
45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Barrena 3 – 1 Juan Bautista Torres

Clay Rosario CH · 2026-02-02

R32

Juan Bautista Torres #353

Alex Barrena #180

6-3 6-1
0 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 1
49 Service Points 64
34 First Serve In 30
22 First Serve Won 20
10 Second Serve Won 11
0 Break Points Saved 9
1 Break Points Faced 14
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Buenos Aires CH · 2025-09-22

R32

Alex Barrena #188

Juan Bautista Torres #415

6-1 5-7 6-4
2 Aces 2
0 Double Faults 1
90 Service Points 76
50 First Serve In 50
32 First Serve Won 28
22 Second Serve Won 15
4 Break Points Saved 1
8 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Lima CH · 2025-06-23

R16

Alex Barrena #273

Juan Bautista Torres #300

5-7 6-3 6-4
3 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 0
120 Service Points 105
76 First Serve In 71
40 First Serve Won 33
26 Second Serve Won 19
7 Break Points Saved 6
13 Break Points Faced 13
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Santa Cruz de la Sierra CH · 2025-06-16

R16

Alex Barrena #326

Juan Bautista Torres #302

6-1 6-1
1 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 1
50 Service Points 41
20 First Serve In 27
14 First Serve Won 12
20 Second Serve Won 5
4 Break Points Saved 4
4 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Alex Barrena — Last 10

L W W W W W L W W W

Juan Bautista Torres — Last 10

L L W L L W L W W L