ATP tennis predict — Alex Barrena vs Georgii Kravchenko

Challenger Clay Todi challenger · 1. round 11:55

Predicted probability

Alex Barrena

Argentina

52.28%

Georgii Kravchenko

Ukraine

47.72%

Average Odds

1.57 / 2.28

Market probability

59.22% / 40.78%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1553.4 Elo 1521.4

1582.7 Elo (surface) 1529.2

77 Wins (Challenger) 44

77 Wins (surface) 34

5 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.866 Dominance ratio 1.217

261 Rank 388

23.8 Age 26.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Barrena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–2L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Georgii Kravchenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Barrena Georgii Kravchenko

1st Serve In %

57.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.28

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.9%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

54.2%

68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.8%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.8%

34.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Barrena Georgii Kravchenko

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.2%

63.8%

Break Points Converted %

36.0%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Barrena 0 – 0 Georgii Kravchenko

Clay Todi challenger · 2026-08-11

1. round

Alex Barrena #261

Georgii Kravchenko #388

6-4 6-4

0 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 2

65 Service Points 70

39 First Serve In 34

25 First Serve Won 22

16 Second Serve Won 16

2 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Alex Barrena vs Georgii Kravchenko — Prediction