ATP tennis predict — Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · F 18:00

Predicted probability

Alex Barrena

Argentina

60.00%

Facundo Mena

Argentina

40.00%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.58

Market probability

44.51% / 55.49%

Why This Prediction?

Alex Barrena is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (42.1% vs 38.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1710.8 Elo 1718.1

1720.3 Elo (surface) 1748.5

90 Wins (Challenger) 207

90 Wins (surface) 182

11 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.948 Dominance ratio 1.083

240 Rank 220

24.0 Age 34.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alex Barrena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–2L · 84.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Barrena Facundo Mena

1st Serve In %

57.9%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.15

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alex Barrena Facundo Mena

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

48.8%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

36.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alex Barrena and Facundo Mena have never played each other.

Alex Barrena vs Facundo Mena — Prediction