ATP tennis predict — Aleksandr Braynin vs Tommaso Compagnucci

Challenger Clay Hagen challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Aleksandr Braynin

Ukraine

17.58%

Tommaso Compagnucci

Italy

82.42%

Average Odds

4.18 / 1.20

Market probability

22.30% / 77.70%

Why This Prediction?

Tommaso Compagnucci is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1569 vs 1316), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1594 vs 1310) and more career match wins (25 vs 15).

Player Comparison

1315.6 Elo 1569.0

1310.1 Elo (surface) 1594.0

15 Wins (Challenger) 25

7 Wins (surface) 24

4 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.957 Dominance ratio 1.100

775 Rank 358

26.9 Age 26.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandr Braynin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Tommaso Compagnucci

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandr Braynin Tommaso Compagnucci

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.0%

68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.3%

44.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.4%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.7%

39.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandr Braynin Tommaso Compagnucci

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

66.3%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.4%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandr Braynin 0 – 0 Tommaso Compagnucci

Clay Hagen challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Tommaso Compagnucci #358

Aleksandr Braynin #775

6-3 7-5

0 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 2

67 Service Points 62

38 First Serve In 38

26 First Serve Won 24

11 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Aleksandr Braynin vs Tommaso Compagnucci — Prediction