ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda

ATP Hard Washington · 1. round

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

39.89%

Zachary Svajda

USA

60.11%

Average Odds

2.09 / 1.73

Market probability

45.29% / 54.71%

Why This Prediction?

Zachary Svajda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1722 vs 1703), the advantage of playing in his home country and a better head-to-head record against Aleksandar Vukic (4-1).

Player Comparison

1702.5 Elo 1721.6

1766.8 Elo (surface) 1707.8

117 Wins 64

78 Wins (surface) 51

6 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 4

1.149 Dominance ratio 1.075

172 Rank 60

30.3 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Zachary Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Zachary Svajda

1st Serve In %

62.0%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

1.06

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Zachary Svajda

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

48.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

52.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Vukic 1 – 4 Zachary Svajda

Hard Washington · 2026-07-27

1. round

Aleksandar Vukic #105

Zachary Svajda #76

6-3 6-1

12 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

41 Service Points 45

26 First Serve In 23

23 First Serve Won 15

10 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 7

30 Winners 10

13 Unforced Errors 23

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Grass Surbiton CH · 2023-06-05

R32

Zachary Svajda #227

Aleksandar Vukic #97

7-6(6) 6-3

4 Aces 8

3 Double Faults 0

83 Service Points 57

54 First Serve In 38

39 First Serve Won 26

15 Second Serve Won 12

7 Break Points Saved 0

8 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Rome GA CH · 2023-02-20

R16

Zachary Svajda #256

Aleksandar Vukic #201

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 1

61 Service Points 66

41 First Serve In 32

29 First Serve Won 20

13 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Dallas · 2023-02-06

Q1

Zachary Svajda #265

Aleksandar Vukic #171

7-5 6-3

5 Aces 8

0 Double Faults 1

69 Service Points 63

52 First Serve In 42

42 First Serve Won 32

7 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Us Open · 2022-08-29

Q1

Zachary Svajda #313

Aleksandar Vukic #132

7-5 6-4

5 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

66 Service Points 66

42 First Serve In 30

26 First Serve Won 17

13 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Cary 2 CH · 2021-09-13

QF

Aleksandar Vukic #233

Zachary Svajda #476

3-6 6-2 6-3

10 Aces 9

3 Double Faults 3

83 Service Points 95

46 First Serve In 52

38 First Serve Won 39

15 Second Serve Won 16

3 Break Points Saved 10

5 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Vukic — Last 10

Zachary Svajda — Last 10