ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajal

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

52.49%

Mark Lajal

Estonia

47.51%

Average Odds

1.60 / 2.21

Market probability

58.01% / 41.99%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1706.8 Elo 1707.5

1749.6 Elo (surface) 1726.2

119 Wins 19

80 Wins (surface) 11

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.377 Dominance ratio 0.933

101 Rank 157

30.4 Age 23.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Mark Lajal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Mark Lajal

1st Serve In %

62.0%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

1.06

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

57.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Mark Lajal

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Vukic 0 – 0 Mark Lajal

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 2. round

Mark Lajal #157

Aleksandar Vukic #101

6-7 6-3 6-4

15 Aces 21

3 Double Faults 9

100 Service Points 103

62 First Serve In 66

46 First Serve Won 56

20 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 5

36 Winners 37

32 Unforced Errors 39

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Aleksandar Vukic vs Mark Lajal — Prediction