ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet

ATP Hard Hangzhou · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

52.29%

Kyrian Jacquet

France

47.71%

Average Odds

1.92 / 1.87

Market probability

49.34% / 50.66%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1804.1 Elo 1804.4

1787.1 Elo (surface) 1771.8

120 Wins 25

81 Wins (surface) 13

8 Last 15 form 8

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.680 Dominance ratio 1.003

91 Rank 107

30.5 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Kyrian Jacquet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Kyrian Jacquet

1st Serve In %

62.0%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

1.06

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

54.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Kyrian Jacquet

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

62.4%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

29.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

61.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Vukic 1 – 0 Kyrian Jacquet

Hard Hangzhou · 2026-09-23

1. round

Kyrian Jacquet #107

Aleksandar Vukic #91

7-6 3-6 6-3

5 Aces 16

5 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

41 First Serve Won 45

36 Second Serve Won 23

14 Break Points Saved 3

16 Break Points Faced 5

46 Winners 41

43 Unforced Errors 36

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-19

1. round

Aleksandar Vukic #99

Kyrian Jacquet #119

7-6 6-1

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.8

Aleksandar Vukic vs Kyrian Jacquet — Prediction