ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Vukic vs Evan Zhu

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · qualification - round of 16 06:30

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

79.50%

Evan Zhu

USA

20.50%

Average Odds

1.23 / 3.53

Market probability

74.16% / 25.84%

Why This Prediction?

Aleksandar Vukic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1794 vs 1570), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1775 vs 1573) and a stronger serve (74.9% vs 54.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1794.0 Elo 1570.4

1774.8 Elo (surface) 1572.5

159 Wins (Challenger) 76

114 Wins (surface) 63

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.085 Dominance ratio 1.041

112 Rank 502

30.5 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Evan Zhu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-07-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Evan Zhu

1st Serve In %

62.0%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

60.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

1.06

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

37.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Evan Zhu

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Vukic and Evan Zhu have never played each other.

Aleksandar Vukic vs Evan Zhu — Prediction