ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin Blanch

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

69.03%

Darwin Blanch

USA

30.97%

Average Odds

1.61 / 2.23

Market probability

58.07% / 41.93%

Why This Prediction?

Aleksandar Vukic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1750 vs 1403), a higher Elo rating (1707 vs 1577) and more wins on hard courts (80 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1706.8 Elo 1576.6

1749.6 Elo (surface) 1403.2

119 Wins 7

80 Wins (surface) 5

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.377 Dominance ratio 0.815

101 Rank 221

30.4 Age 18.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Darwin Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Darwin Blanch

1st Serve In %

62.0%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

45.2%

Aces per Service Game

1.06

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Darwin Blanch

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

55.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Vukic 0 – 0 Darwin Blanch

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-13

qualification - 1. round

Aleksandar Vukic #101

Darwin Blanch #221

6-3 7-6

8 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 1

62 Service Points 69

38 First Serve In 39

34 First Serve Won 31

16 Second Serve Won 15

0 Break Points Saved 5

0 Break Points Faced 6

18 Winners 21

8 Unforced Errors 22

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Aleksandar Vukic vs Darwin Blanch — Prediction