ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Vukic vs Aziz Dougaz

ATP Hard Washington · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

75.20%

Aziz Dougaz

Tunisia

24.80%

Average Odds

1.46 / 2.60

Market probability

64.04% / 35.96%

Why This Prediction?

Aleksandar Vukic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1755 vs 1539), a higher Elo rating (1689 vs 1552) and a stronger serve (65.8% vs 62.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1688.5 Elo 1552.4

1755.0 Elo (surface) 1538.9

115 Wins 15

76 Wins (surface) 10

5 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.871 Dominance ratio 0.896

102 Rank 568

30.3 Age 29.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Aziz Dougaz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Aziz Dougaz

1st Serve In %

62.0%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

1.06

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Aziz Dougaz

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

50.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

46.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

51.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Vukic 0 – 0 Aziz Dougaz

Hard Washington · 2026-07-25

qualification - 1. round

Aleksandar Vukic #102

Aziz Dougaz #568

6-3 6-3

11 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 5

45 Service Points 62

27 First Serve In 27

23 First Serve Won 21

13 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 3

0 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.6

Aleksandar Vukic vs Aziz Dougaz — Prediction