ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren

Challenger Hard Granby challenger · SF

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

49.88%

August Holmgren

Denmark

50.12%

Average Odds

1.96 / 1.77

Market probability

47.45% / 52.55%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1659.3 Elo 1615.3

1726.9 Elo (surface) 1670.0

155 Wins (Challenger) 91

110 Wins (surface) 75

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.028 Dominance ratio 1.163

113 Rank 192

30.3 Age 28.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

August Holmgren

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic August Holmgren

1st Serve In %

62.0%

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

21.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

41.3%

Aces per Service Game

1.06

0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

74.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

57.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic August Holmgren

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

22.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

75.5%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

35.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Vukic 0 – 0 August Holmgren

Hard Granby challenger · 2026-07-19

SF

Aleksandar Vukic #102

August Holmgren #227

6-4 3-6 6-3

9 Aces 9

0 Double Faults 9

87 Service Points 118

47 First Serve In 70

36 First Serve Won 48

25 Second Serve Won 22

4 Break Points Saved 12

5 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren — Prediction