ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneau

Challenger Hard Granby challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Vukic

Australia

54.39%

Alexis Galarneau

Canada

45.61%

Average Odds

1.92 / 1.81

Market probability

48.53% / 51.47%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1659.3 Elo 1664.9

1726.9 Elo (surface) 1622.1

155 Wins (Challenger) 194

110 Wins (surface) 163

7 Last 15 form 10

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.028 Dominance ratio 0.922

113 Rank 158

30.3 Age 27.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Vukic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Alexis Galarneau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Alexis Galarneau

1st Serve In %

62.0%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.5%

68.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

55.6%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.8%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

1.06

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.0%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.4%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.56

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.13

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Vukic Alexis Galarneau

Break Points Saved %

65.8%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

32.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.9%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Vukic 1 – 0 Alexis Galarneau

Hard Granby challenger · 2026-07-18

QF

Aleksandar Vukic #113

Alexis Galarneau #158

7-6 7-6

10 Aces 7

1 Double Faults 5

96 Service Points 73

61 First Serve In 44

49 First Serve Won 34

18 Second Serve Won 17

6 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Hard Calgary CH · 2022-11-07

QF

Aleksandar Vukic #165

Alexis Galarneau #222

6-3 7-6(4)

14 Aces 7

0 Double Faults 3

53 Service Points 67

28 First Serve In 35

26 First Serve Won 30

18 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 1

0 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneau — Prediction