ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Tolev vs Dragos Nicolae Cazacu

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Tolev

Bulgaria

16.34%

Dragos Nicolae Cazacu

Romania

83.66%

Average Odds

7.48 / 1.06

Market probability

12.41% / 87.59%

Why This Prediction?

Dragos Nicolae Cazacu is the favorite because he has better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0), fewer double faults per game (0.14 vs 0.47) and more wins on clay courts (3 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1405.8 Elo 1329.8

1407.0 Elo (surface) 1312.4

0 Wins (Challenger) 5

0 Wins (surface) 3

0 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.614 Dominance ratio 0.893

1905 Rank 822

None Age 22.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Tolev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Dragos Nicolae Cazacu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Tolev Dragos Nicolae Cazacu

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

59.9%

59.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.2%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Tolev Dragos Nicolae Cazacu

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

43.2%

46.2%

Break Points Converted %

53.7%

45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Tolev 0 – 0 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Dragos Nicolae Cazacu #822

Aleksandar Tolev #1905

5-7 6-0 6-1

2 Aces 2

10 Double Faults 3

84 Service Points 76

41 First Serve In 43

23 First Serve Won 29

13 Second Serve Won 17

6 Break Points Saved 5

14 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 7.5

Aleksandar Tolev vs Dragos Nicolae Cazacu — Prediction