ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zachary Svajda

ATP Hard Tokyo · qualification - round of 16 05:30

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

38.96%

Zachary Svajda

USA

61.04%

Average Odds

2.31 / 1.58

Market probability

40.62% / 59.38%

Why This Prediction?

Zachary Svajda is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1863 vs 1794), a stronger return game (39.3% vs 30.9% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1814 vs 1773).

Player Comparison

1793.5 Elo 1863.2

1773.1 Elo (surface) 1813.6

84 Wins 66

64 Wins (surface) 53

5 Last 15 form 6

2 Head-to-head wins 1

0.864 Dominance ratio 1.071

79 Rank 80

28.1 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Zachary Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Kovacevic Zachary Svajda

1st Serve In %

55.1%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.1%

74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.5%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.0%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.6%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.9%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.7%

76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.1%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Kovacevic Zachary Svajda

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

28.9%

48.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

52.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Kovacevic 2 – 1 Zachary Svajda

Hard Delray Beach · 2026-02-16

R32

Zachary Svajda #106

Aleksandar Kovacevic #75

7-6(4) 6-3

17 Aces 14

2 Double Faults 4

91 Service Points 54

54 First Serve In 31

46 First Serve Won 29

18 Second Serve Won 12

9 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Los Cabos · 2024-02-19

Q2

Aleksandar Kovacevic #100

Zachary Svajda #139

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 4

66 Service Points 62

36 First Serve In 34

27 First Serve Won 25

17 Second Serve Won 12

7 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Lexington CH · 2022-08-01

R32

Aleksandar Kovacevic #229

Zachary Svajda #332

7-5 6-1

9 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 0

60 Service Points 51

32 First Serve In 35

22 First Serve Won 19

18 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zachary Svajda — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Kovacevic — Last 10

Zachary Svajda — Last 10