ATP tennis predict — Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

ATP Hard Winston Salem · R16 00:35

Predicted probability

Aleksandar Kovacevic

USA

31.29%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Greece

68.71%

Average Odds

3.03 / 1.37

Market probability

31.14% / 68.86%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Tsitsipas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1819 vs 1659), a higher Elo rating (1849 vs 1708) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.20).

Player Comparison

1708.3 Elo 1848.6

1659.3 Elo (surface) 1819.1

83 Wins 425

63 Wins (surface) 253

6 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.923 Dominance ratio 1.033

89 Rank 53

28.0 Age 28.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Kovacevic Stefanos Tsitsipas

1st Serve In %

55.8%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.4%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.7%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.4%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.9%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.7%

80.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.5%

62.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.1%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.57

0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aleksandar Kovacevic Stefanos Tsitsipas

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

36.2%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

75.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aleksandar Kovacevic 0 – 1 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-27

R16

Aleksandar Kovacevic #89

Stefanos Tsitsipas #53

6-3 7-6

13 Aces 16

3 Double Faults 3

69 Service Points 75

44 First Serve In 45

38 First Serve Won 35

12 Second Serve Won 12

3 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 6

11 Winners 7

7 Unforced Errors 9

3.0 Average Odds 1.4

Hard Los Cabos · 2024-02-19

QF

Stefanos Tsitsipas #11

Aleksandar Kovacevic #100

7-6(1) 6-3

6 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 4

66 Service Points 61

39 First Serve In 36

34 First Serve Won 26

14 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Prediction