ATP tennis predict — Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Yanki Erel

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Spain

48.02%

Yanki Erel

Turkey

51.98%

Average Odds

2.12 / 1.66

Market probability

43.92% / 56.08%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1575.6 Elo 1525.4

1513.9 Elo (surface) 1571.1

28 Wins (Challenger) 36

7 Wins (surface) 28

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.763 Dominance ratio 1.141

492 Rank 341

21.0 Age 25.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Yanki Erel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Yanki Erel

1st Serve In %

65.6%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.0%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

66.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Yanki Erel

Break Points Saved %

33.3%

61.3%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

52.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.2%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

29.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejo Sanchez Quilez 0 – 0 Yanki Erel

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-15

R16

Alejo Sanchez Quilez #492

Yanki Erel #341

6-4 6-2

6 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

59 Service Points 52

35 First Serve In 39

22 First Serve Won 17

12 Second Serve Won 5

6 Break Points Saved 4

9 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Yanki Erel — Prediction