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Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Vasco Leote Prata — Prediction

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Vasco Leote Prata

Portugal

13.78%

Average Odds

1.09  /  6.37

Market probability

85.39%  /  14.61%

Why This Prediction?

Alejo Sanchez Quilez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1571 vs 1453), more career match wins (33 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1528 vs 1500).

Player Comparison

1570.6 Elo 1452.7
1527.9 Elo (surface) 1500
33 Wins (Challenger) 0
21 Wins (surface) 0
6 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.958 Dominance ratio 0.807
375 Rank 1698
21.3 Age 23.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Vasco Leote Prata

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Vasco Leote Prata

1st Serve In %

65.6%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.0%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.10
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%
64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%
64.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%
65.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%
24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%
34.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.37
0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Vasco Leote Prata

Break Points Saved %

33.3%
—

Break Points Converted %

66.7%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.2%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%
0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejo Sanchez Quilez and Vasco Leote Prata have never played each other.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez — Last 10

L L L W L L L W W L

Vasco Leote Prata — Last 1

L