ATP tennis predict — Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Oliver Crawford

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Spain

44.06%

Oliver Crawford

Great Britain

55.94%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.76

Market probability

47.18% / 52.82%

Why This Prediction?

Oliver Crawford is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (39 vs 9), a stronger return game (39.8% vs 33.2% of return points won) and more career match wins (3 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1582.8 Elo 1596.1

1565.2 Elo (surface) 1601.1

30 Wins (Challenger) 75

9 Wins (surface) 39

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.783 Dominance ratio 1.059

450 Rank 237

21.1 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Oliver Crawford

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Oliver Crawford

1st Serve In %

65.6%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.0%

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Oliver Crawford

Break Points Saved %

33.3%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.2%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejo Sanchez Quilez 0 – 0 Oliver Crawford

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-23

R16

Oliver Crawford #237

Alejo Sanchez Quilez #450

6-4 7-6

8 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

78 Service Points 65

57 First Serve In 43

42 First Serve Won 38

10 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Oliver Crawford — Prediction