ATP tennis predict — Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Mark Lajal

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · QF 16:45

Predicted probability

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Spain

27.68%

Mark Lajal

Estonia

72.32%

Average Odds

3.20 / 1.32

Market probability

29.20% / 70.80%

Why This Prediction?

Mark Lajal is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1727 vs 1600), a higher Elo rating (1726 vs 1615) and more wins on hard courts (123 vs 11).

Player Comparison

1615.2 Elo 1725.6

1599.7 Elo (surface) 1726.7

32 Wins (Challenger) 137

11 Wins (surface) 123

9 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.936 Dominance ratio 1.095

395 Rank 152

21.2 Age 23.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Mark Lajal

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 11W–3L · 78.6%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

37 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Mark Lajal

1st Serve In %

65.6%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.0%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

61.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

57.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Mark Lajal

Break Points Saved %

33.3%

62.7%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.2%

55.4%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejo Sanchez Quilez 0 – 0 Mark Lajal

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-04

QF

Mark Lajal #152

Alejo Sanchez Quilez #395

6-2 6-3

0 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 1

55 Service Points 74

29 First Serve In 50

15 First Serve Won 35

13 Second Serve Won 10

4 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Mark Lajal — Prediction