ATP tennis predict — Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Ivan Gakhov

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · qualification - round of 16 13:30

Predicted probability

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Spain

55.32%

Ivan Gakhov

Russia

44.68%

Average Odds

1.61 / 2.05

Market probability

56.01% / 43.99%

Why This Prediction?

Alejo Sanchez Quilez is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (62.3% vs 55.5% of service points won), better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 5) and fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.16).

Player Comparison

1570.6 Elo 1575.4

1527.9 Elo (surface) 1547.1

33 Wins (Challenger) 159

21 Wins (surface) 130

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.958 Dominance ratio 0.841

375 Rank 434

21.3 Age 29.9

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Ivan Gakhov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Ivan Gakhov

1st Serve In %

65.6%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.0%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.4%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

65.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.6%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Ivan Gakhov

Break Points Saved %

33.3%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.2%

53.1%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

39.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejo Sanchez Quilez and Ivan Gakhov have never played each other.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Ivan Gakhov — Prediction