ATP tennis predict — Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Antoine Ghibaudo

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Spain

44.83%

Antoine Ghibaudo

France

55.17%

Average Odds

1.59 / 2.25

Market probability

58.59% / 41.41%

Why This Prediction?

Antoine Ghibaudo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1640 vs 1515), a stronger serve (62.2% vs 57.4% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (41 vs 8).

Player Comparison

1560.6 Elo 1532.4

1515.5 Elo (surface) 1640.1

29 Wins (Challenger) 52

8 Wins (surface) 41

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.796 Dominance ratio 0.904

450 Rank 352

21.1 Age 21.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Antoine Ghibaudo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Antoine Ghibaudo

1st Serve In %

65.6%

58.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%

69.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

21.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.0%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.10

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

63.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%

55.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Antoine Ghibaudo

Break Points Saved %

33.3%

73.7%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

22.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.2%

58.2%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejo Sanchez Quilez 0 – 0 Antoine Ghibaudo

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Alejo Sanchez Quilez #450

Antoine Ghibaudo #352

6-3 6-3

5 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 2

62 Service Points 54

37 First Serve In 39

27 First Serve Won 31

8 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Antoine Ghibaudo — Prediction