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Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Andrej Nedic — Prediction

Challenger Clay Maia challenger · R16 17:30

Predicted probability

Andrej Nedic

Bosnia and Herzeg.

58.29%

Average Odds

2.10  /  1.66

Market probability

44.15%  /  55.85%

Why This Prediction?

Andrej Nedic is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (45.3% vs 36.1% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1683 vs 1642) and a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1672 vs 1621).

Player Comparison

1642.1 Elo 1683.4
1621.3 Elo (surface) 1671.5
36 Wins (Challenger) 31
24 Wins (surface) 31
7 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.958 Dominance ratio 1.223
375 Rank 244
21.3 Age 22.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Andrej Nedic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–5L · 44.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Andrej Nedic

1st Serve In %

65.6%
53.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.5%
69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%
43.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%
28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.0%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.10
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10
0.67

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%
54.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.8%
63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.8%
61.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

44.4%
40.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%
52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.34
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22
0.15

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez Andrej Nedic

Break Points Saved %

33.3%
90.0%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.0%
64.0%

Break Points Converted %

41.2%
42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejo Sanchez Quilez and Andrej Nedic have never played each other.

Alejo Sanchez Quilez — Last 10

W W W L L L W L L L

Andrej Nedic — Last 10

W L L W W W W L L W