ATP tennis predict — Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Alexander Ritschard

Challenger Clay Sevilla challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:00

Predicted probability

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez

Spain

22.05%

Alexander Ritschard

Switzerland

77.95%

Average Odds

7.02 / 1.08

Market probability

13.33% / 86.67%

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Ritschard is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1628 vs 1469), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1632 vs 1538) and more wins on clay courts (78 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1468.7 Elo 1628.4

1538.3 Elo (surface) 1631.9

2 Wins (Challenger) 160

1 Wins (surface) 78

2 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.568 Dominance ratio 1.170

799 Rank 638

23.6 Age 32.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Alexander Ritschard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Alexander Ritschard

1st Serve In %

—

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

41.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.0%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.1%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.8%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.4%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

38.3%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.13

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez Alexander Ritschard

Break Points Saved %

—

53.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

38.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

44.7%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%

48.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 0 – 0 Alexander Ritschard

Clay Sevilla challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Alexander Ritschard #638

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez #799

6-1 6-2

0 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

41 Service Points 44

24 First Serve In 33

14 First Serve Won 27

7 Second Serve Won 6

2 Break Points Saved 0

6 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 7.0

Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Alexander Ritschard — Prediction