ATP tennis predict — Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor

ATP Hard Washington · 1. round

Predicted probability

Alejandro Tabilo

Chile

43.79%

Tallon Griekspoor

Netherlands

56.21%

Average Odds

2.22 / 1.65

Market probability

42.64% / 57.36%

Why This Prediction?

Tallon Griekspoor is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1781 vs 1736), a higher Elo rating (1803 vs 1779) and a stronger serve (65.8% vs 63.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1778.5 Elo 1803.2

1735.8 Elo (surface) 1781.3

131 Wins 159

61 Wins (surface) 97

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.965 Dominance ratio 1.051

22 Rank 28

29.2 Age 30.1

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejandro Tabilo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tallon Griekspoor

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Tabilo Tallon Griekspoor

1st Serve In %

59.4%

62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.6%

75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

56.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.5%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.3%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.66

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.7%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.4%

72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.5%

58.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

54.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Tabilo Tallon Griekspoor

Break Points Saved %

60.9%

61.4%

Break Points Converted %

32.6%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.0%

55.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.7%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Tabilo 0 – 0 Tallon Griekspoor

Hard Washington · 2026-07-27

1. round

Alejandro Tabilo #30

Tallon Griekspoor #67

7-6 4-6 6-4

14 Aces 17

3 Double Faults 3

97 Service Points 91

58 First Serve In 59

47 First Serve Won 47

23 Second Serve Won 20

4 Break Points Saved 6

5 Break Points Faced 7

43 Winners 43

38 Unforced Errors 38

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoor — Prediction