ATP tennis predict — Alejandro Moro Canas vs Robin Bertrand

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

64.16%

Robin Bertrand

France

35.84%

Average Odds

1.29 / 3.41

Market probability

72.55% / 27.45%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1626 vs 1489), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1633 vs 1521) and a stronger serve (63.7% vs 57.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1626.0 Elo 1489.3

1633.0 Elo (surface) 1521.2

115 Wins (Challenger) 46

56 Wins (surface) 45

7 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.006 Dominance ratio 1.024

236 Rank 368

25.7 Age 23.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Robin Bertrand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Robin Bertrand

1st Serve In %

66.4%

61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

41.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

23.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.57

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

63.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

62.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.5%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Robin Bertrand

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

63.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.3%

52.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

47.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Moro Canas 0 – 0 Robin Bertrand

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Alejandro Moro Canas #236

Robin Bertrand #368

7-5 6-4

6 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 3

58 Service Points 72

39 First Serve In 42

33 First Serve Won 24

11 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 5

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.4

Alejandro Moro Canas vs Robin Bertrand — Prediction