ATP tennis predict — Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oriol Roca Batalla

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · QF 15:00

Predicted probability

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

58.93%

Oriol Roca Batalla

Spain

41.07%

Average Odds

1.63 / 2.17

Market probability

57.11% / 42.89%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (64.1% vs 61.5% of service points won), a higher Elo rating (1717 vs 1690) and more aces per game (0.17 vs 0.11).

Player Comparison

1717.0 Elo 1689.9

1684.3 Elo (surface) 1684.5

122 Wins (Challenger) 179

63 Wins (surface) 168

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.129 Dominance ratio 1.113

240 Rank 318

25.8 Age 33.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Oriol Roca Batalla

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Oriol Roca Batalla

1st Serve In %

66.4%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

27.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

55.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.5%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Oriol Roca Batalla

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

50.8%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

24.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.3%

65.1%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Moro Canas 0 – 0 Oriol Roca Batalla

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-18

QF

Alejandro Moro Canas #240

Oriol Roca Batalla #318

7-6 6-4

8 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

37 First Serve Won 34

11 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 4

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oriol Roca Batalla — Prediction