ATP tennis predict — Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawford

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

53.10%

Oliver Crawford

Great Britain

46.90%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.06

Market probability

54.64% / 45.36%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1640.7 Elo 1611.8

1653.8 Elo (surface) 1619.6

115 Wins (Challenger) 76

56 Wins (surface) 40

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.046 Dominance ratio 0.987

222 Rank 237

25.6 Age 27.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Oliver Crawford

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Oliver Crawford

1st Serve In %

66.4%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

24.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

66.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.5%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Oliver Crawford

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.3%

52.9%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

39.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Moro Canas 0 – 0 Oliver Crawford

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-24

QF

Oliver Crawford #237

Alejandro Moro Canas #222

6-4 6-0

3 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 4

43 Service Points 53

32 First Serve In 30

18 First Serve Won 23

5 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 3

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oliver Crawford — Prediction