ATP tennis predict — Alejandro Moro Canas vs Marco Cecchinato

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · R16 14:05

Predicted probability

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

47.14%

Marco Cecchinato

Italy

52.86%

Average Odds

2.39 / 1.53

Market probability

39.03% / 60.97%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1615.3 Elo 1722.6

1605.3 Elo (surface) 1738.5

118 Wins (Challenger) 311

59 Wins (surface) 308

8 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.188 Dominance ratio 0.886

238 Rank 166

25.7 Age 33.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Marco Cecchinato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 14W–3L · 82.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Marco Cecchinato

1st Serve In %

66.4%

63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

56.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.5%

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Marco Cecchinato

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.3%

65.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Moro Canas 0 – 0 Marco Cecchinato

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-03

R16

Alejandro Moro Canas #238

Marco Cecchinato #166

6-3 6-4

6 Aces 0

0 Double Faults 3

57 Service Points 59

42 First Serve In 39

27 First Serve Won 19

6 Second Serve Won 8

3 Break Points Saved 4

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Alejandro Moro Canas vs Marco Cecchinato — Prediction