ATP tennis predict — Alejandro Moro Canas vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

66.44%

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

France

33.56%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.24

Market probability

71.21% / 28.79%

Why This Prediction?

Alejandro Moro Canas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1693 vs 1562), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1650 vs 1564) and a stronger serve (64.1% vs 62.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1692.7 Elo 1562.5

1649.6 Elo (surface) 1564.0

120 Wins (Challenger) 169

61 Wins (surface) 97

8 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.129 Dominance ratio 1.081

238 Rank 361

25.8 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Geoffrey Blancaneaux

1st Serve In %

66.4%

63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

34.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.5%

35.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

68.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

41.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.3%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

35.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Moro Canas 0 – 0 Geoffrey Blancaneaux

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-14

1. round

Alejandro Moro Canas #240

Geoffrey Blancaneaux #435

6-2 7-6

1 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

37 First Serve Won 27

12 Second Serve Won 17

1 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Alejandro Moro Canas vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux — Prediction