ATP tennis predict — Alejandro Moro Canas vs Felix Balshaw

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · qualification - round of 16 02:50

Predicted probability

Alejandro Moro Canas

Spain

46.38%

Felix Balshaw

France

53.62%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.12

Market probability

55.94% / 44.06%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1619.7 Elo 1662.2

1626.7 Elo (surface) 1543.1

116 Wins (Challenger) 19

57 Wins (surface) 6

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.242 Dominance ratio 1.113

240 Rank 254

25.7 Age 20.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Felix Balshaw

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Felix Balshaw

1st Serve In %

66.4%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

79.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.8%

42.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.51

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.9%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.2%

50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.5%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.4%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Moro Canas Felix Balshaw

Break Points Saved %

59.7%

72.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.4%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.3%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

43.5%

47.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Moro Canas 0 – 0 Felix Balshaw

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-18

qualification - round of 16

Alejandro Moro Canas #240

Felix Balshaw #254

6-4 7-6

2 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 2

76 Service Points 81

43 First Serve In 54

27 First Serve Won 36

20 Second Serve Won 15

1 Break Points Saved 10

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Alejandro Moro Canas vs Felix Balshaw — Prediction