ATP tennis predict — Alejandro Juan Mano vs Francesco Passaro

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 1. round 17:30

Predicted probability

Alejandro Juan Mano

Spain

15.23%

Francesco Passaro

Italy

84.77%

Average Odds

4.98 / 1.14

Market probability

18.63% / 81.37%

Why This Prediction?

Francesco Passaro is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1752 vs 1501), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1713 vs 1499) and more wins on clay courts (104 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1500.9 Elo 1751.9

1499.0 Elo (surface) 1713.4

2 Wins (Challenger) 122

2 Wins (surface) 104

2 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.879 Dominance ratio 0.746

625 Rank 223

21.7 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alejandro Juan Mano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-20.

Francesco Passaro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Juan Mano Francesco Passaro

1st Serve In %

—

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

70.0%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

51.7%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.4%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.2%

25.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

34.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.14

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alejandro Juan Mano Francesco Passaro

Break Points Saved %

—

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.2%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

33.9%

48.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alejandro Juan Mano 0 – 0 Francesco Passaro

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-22

1. round

Alejandro Juan Mano #625

Francesco Passaro #223

0-6 7-6 6-1

1 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 7

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

34 First Serve Won 33

9 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 9

7 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

5.0 Average Odds 1.1

Alejandro Juan Mano vs Francesco Passaro — Prediction