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Alec Deckers vs Pierre Antoine Tailleu — Prediction

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Alec Deckers

Netherlands

86.85%

Average Odds

1.18  /  4.47

Market probability

79.12%  /  20.88%

Why This Prediction?

Alec Deckers is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1546 vs 1386), a higher Elo rating (1560 vs 1398) and more career match wins (14 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1560.5 Elo 1397.7
1545.9 Elo (surface) 1385.9
14 Wins (Challenger) 0
8 Wins (surface) 0
9 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.933 Dominance ratio 0.625
542 Rank 1321
26.4 Age 23.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alec Deckers

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Pierre Antoine Tailleu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alec Deckers Pierre Antoine Tailleu

1st Serve In %

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.85

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%
56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%
68.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%
44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.6%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%
43.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.79
0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alec Deckers Pierre Antoine Tailleu

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

30.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.5%
56.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%
25.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alec Deckers 00 Pierre Antoine Tailleu

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-06

qualification - 1. round

Pierre Antoine Tailleu #1321

Alec Deckers #542

2-6 7-6 6-3
16 Aces 7
6 Double Faults 7
97 Service Points 93
63 First Serve In 42
46 First Serve Won 26
13 Second Serve Won 29
12 Break Points Saved 4
16 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
4.5 Average Odds 1.2

Alec Deckers — Last 10

L L W W W L W W L W

Pierre Antoine Tailleu — Last 5

L W L L L