ATP tennis predict — Alec Deckers vs Egor Agafonov

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · qualification - round of 16 07:05

Predicted probability

Alec Deckers

Netherlands

48.78%

Egor Agafonov

Russia

51.22%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.53

Market probability

63.25% / 36.75%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1503.9 Elo 1460.0

1526.7 Elo (surface) 1495.9

8 Wins (Challenger) 19

4 Wins (surface) 19

7 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.747 Dominance ratio 0.810

577 Rank 686

26.3 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alec Deckers

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Egor Agafonov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alec Deckers Egor Agafonov

1st Serve In %

57.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.85

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.6%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

47.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.79

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alec Deckers Egor Agafonov

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

30.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.5%

61.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alec Deckers 0 – 0 Egor Agafonov

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-10

qualification - round of 16

Alec Deckers #577

Egor Agafonov #686

7-6 7-5

9 Aces 18

5 Double Faults 1

83 Service Points 68

54 First Serve In 42

36 First Serve Won 36

17 Second Serve Won 19

5 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Alec Deckers vs Egor Agafonov — Prediction