ATP tennis predict — Alec Deckers vs Danial Rakhmatullayev

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · qualification - 1. round 07:10

Predicted probability

Alec Deckers

Netherlands

85.86%

Danial Rakhmatullayev

Kazakhstan

14.14%

Average Odds

1.22 / 3.90

Market probability

76.17% / 23.83%

Why This Prediction?

Alec Deckers is the favorite because he has better recent form (7 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0), more career match wins (7 vs 0) and more wins on hard courts (3 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1466.0 Elo 1500

1480.8 Elo (surface) 1500

7 Wins (Challenger) 0

3 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.784 Dominance ratio 0.784

577 Rank -

26.3 Age None

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alec Deckers

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Danial Rakhmatullayev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alec Deckers Danial Rakhmatullayev

1st Serve In %

57.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.2%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.85

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.7%

51.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

90.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.6%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.4%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.79

1.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alec Deckers Danial Rakhmatullayev

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

—

Break Points Converted %

30.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

42.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alec Deckers 0 – 0 Danial Rakhmatullayev

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Alec Deckers #577

Danial Rakhmatullayev #-

7-6 6-2

6 Aces 11

3 Double Faults 2

67 Service Points 60

39 First Serve In 31

28 First Serve Won 28

13 Second Serve Won 15

4 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.9

Alec Deckers vs Danial Rakhmatullayev — Prediction