ATP tennis predict — Alberto Barroso Campos vs Thijs Boogaard

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Alberto Barroso Campos

Spain

20.76%

Thijs Boogaard

Netherlands

79.24%

Average Odds

3.53 / 1.26

Market probability

26.30% / 73.70%

Why This Prediction?

Thijs Boogaard is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1659 vs 1442), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1523 vs 1457) and better recent form (3 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1441.6 Elo 1659.2

1456.8 Elo (surface) 1522.7

27 Wins (Challenger) 4

24 Wins (surface) 2

5 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.909 Dominance ratio 0.864

699 Rank 481

30.3 Age 18.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alberto Barroso Campos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-06.

Thijs Boogaard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-10.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alberto Barroso Campos Thijs Boogaard

1st Serve In %

64.1%

59.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.1%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

21.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

64.8%

61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.3%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.2%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

32.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.8%

50.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alberto Barroso Campos Thijs Boogaard

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

65.9%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

37.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

36.5%

43.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.4%

34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alberto Barroso Campos and Thijs Boogaard have never played each other.

Alberto Barroso Campos vs Thijs Boogaard — Prediction