ATP tennis predict — Alberto Barroso Campos vs Joel Schwaerzler

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 13:40

Predicted probability

Alberto Barroso Campos

Spain

16.76%

Joel Schwaerzler

Austria

83.24%

Average Odds

3.31 / 1.30

Market probability

28.20% / 71.80%

Why This Prediction?

Joel Schwaerzler is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1680 vs 1475), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1670 vs 1485) and a stronger serve (67.6% vs 59.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1474.6 Elo 1680.3

1485.2 Elo (surface) 1670.3

28 Wins (Challenger) 73

25 Wins (surface) 18

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.909 Dominance ratio 1.172

705 Rank 185

30.3 Age 20.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alberto Barroso Campos

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-06.

Joel Schwaerzler

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alberto Barroso Campos Joel Schwaerzler

1st Serve In %

64.1%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.1%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

50.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

26.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

44.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.3%

59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.4%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.2%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.4%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alberto Barroso Campos Joel Schwaerzler

Break Points Saved %

69.2%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

27.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.3%

63.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alberto Barroso Campos and Joel Schwaerzler have never played each other.

Alberto Barroso Campos vs Joel Schwaerzler — Prediction