ATP tennis predict — Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns

ATP Hard Los Cabos · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Alan Magadan

Mexico

51.76%

Garrett Johns

USA

48.24%

Average Odds

1.78 / 1.98

Market probability

52.66% / 47.34%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1567.1 Elo 1551.0

1554.9 Elo (surface) 1535.1

2 Wins 2

2 Wins (surface) 2

2 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.013 Dominance ratio 0.947

650 Rank 375

25.2 Age 25.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alan Magadan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Garrett Johns

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alan Magadan Garrett Johns

1st Serve In %

52.5%

49.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

73.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

34.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.1%

53.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alan Magadan Garrett Johns

Break Points Saved %

36.1%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alan Magadan 0 – 0 Garrett Johns

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-26

qualification - round of 16

Alan Magadan #603

Garrett Johns #530

2-6 6-1 6-1

9 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 6

55 Service Points 64

27 First Serve In 28

24 First Serve Won 20

16 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johns — Prediction