ATP tennis predict — Alan Magadan vs David Jorda Sanchis

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · qualification - round of 16 02:50

Predicted probability

Alan Magadan

Mexico

65.79%

David Jorda Sanchis

Spain

34.21%

Average Odds

1.64 / 2.17

Market probability

56.96% / 43.04%

Why This Prediction?

Alan Magadan is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1548 vs 1450), more wins on hard courts (3 vs 0) and a stronger return game (38.1% vs 37.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1554.9 Elo 1569.2

1547.7 Elo (surface) 1450.1

16 Wins (Challenger) 91

9 Wins (surface) 21

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.859 Dominance ratio 0.969

561 Rank 187

25.2 Age 32.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alan Magadan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

David Jorda Sanchis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alan Magadan David Jorda Sanchis

1st Serve In %

52.5%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%

42.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

73.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.1%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alan Magadan David Jorda Sanchis

Break Points Saved %

36.1%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alan Magadan 0 – 0 David Jorda Sanchis

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-18

qualification - round of 16

Alan Magadan #561

David Jorda Sanchis #187

6-4 7-6

6 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 1

70 Service Points 69

38 First Serve In 49

28 First Serve Won 37

19 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Alan Magadan vs David Jorda Sanchis — Prediction